What Is Grey Market Premium in IPO?

    Raman Saini 2022-12-08 16:00:00

    截屏2022-12-06 下午3.11.57.png 


    Every colour has held a specific significance since the dawn of humanity. Black and white are the two extremes of the same paradigm, with white signifying righteousness and purity and black representing everything that is wrong. However, there is a world outside of black and white, sometimes known as the "Grey realm." Similar circumstances also exist in the stock market; however, the meaning is very different. 

     

    In the world of stock markets, you should know what is Grey Market Premium in IPO? To explain in unambiguously,Grey market is an unofficial market where stocks are traded. India is home to well-known locations, including Delhi's Nehru Place and Mumbai's Heera Panna Market and Gafar Market. These are among the nation's most popular Grey markets for software and equipment. On the same Note, there are Grey markets for stocks as well. Although it is sometimes precise, the GMP of several IPOs has correctly predicted their eventual listing prices. Brokers in the local area typically help with the deals. Let's examine the Grey market in detail and learn how it operates. 

    What Is IPO Grey Market?

    Grey market is an unofficial or parallel market where people can buy and sell IPO shares before they are officially introduced for trading on the stock exchange. Because it is an unregulated market, there are no share price settlement restrictions. Every exchange is based on word-of-mouth. While there may be benefits, there is also a chance that the buyer will incur significant losses. As any third-party organization like SEBI does not support the transition, the chances of scams increase significantly. Buyers must be highly cautious before adding themselves to this market.

     

    Grey market trade mainly takes place between small groups of people behind the scenes; there is no formal platform for trading in this market. All normal functioning happens based on two buzzwords, namely "Grey market premium" and "kostak," on which buyers base their actions in the market. The term "Grey market" can also be described as shares that are lawfully marketed but with the brand's consent behind the curtain. These shares may ruin buyers wealth. As it violates many written and unwritten documents, it further exposes investors to malpractices in the stock market. Before entering the stock market, one must always be certain. This way, investors would protect themselves in this way from potential scams. 

     

    GMP is the most crucial element in Grey Market. Before knowing What Is Grey Market Premium in IPO?Let us take an Example of Grey Market:IN 2013, It was noticed that Twitter shares operated by IG Bank. Prior to Twitter's (TWTR) IPO in November 2013, the firm attracted a lot of investor interest. The speculative market predicted the day before the IPO that shares would be worth $43.60 per share at the end of the first trading day, giving the company a market capitalization of $23.75 billion. This was far more than the $18 billion business valuation. A day later, Twitter's stock price closed at $44.90, giving the business a $31 billion initial market cap.

    How Does Grey Market Work?

    Grey market investments can provide extra income for everyone, including investors. You can generate wealth through this Gray market in two ways. First, you can buy or sell IPO shares at a slightly higher price than the issue price before they are listed on a stock exchange. Secondly, you can directly sell your IPO application to generate profits. Let us look at both options separately.  

    Trading IPO shares in the Grey Market

    Grey market is primarily governed by two parties: buyers and sellers. They both have a significant impact on this market. Finally, they receive compensation in the form of a profit margin.

     

    Buyer’s Role: Individuals in the Grey market predict that the share's value will rise above its issue price. Then the shares are allocated by them even before the start of the IPO allotment process. They actively do deep research and understand the possible movement of markets before allocation. They then put forward the offer to the sellers who are willing to buy the shares.if their determination goes wrong another part may have to endure losses. 

     

    Sellers: Dealers in the Grey market Contact investors to sell the shares at premium rates. Investors take the risk to buy those stocks. In Return, they may not receive any shares or fewer shares than during the IPO allotment process. But if everything goes well, they are the ones who may get the highest returns during the stock’s listing

     

    The dealer usually get in touch with the sellers after the buyer submits their application for the IPO. They then discuss and inquire about the interest in their share at a specific premium Rate. They settle for the price point where everyone benefits. If you are knowledgeable regarding, What Is Grey Market Premium in IPO? You will seek benefits directly.

     

    • Sellers can trade his shares at the premium to the Grey market dealer and book the profit if he is uneasy about taking the risk of a stock market listing. However, it is significant for the seller to secure the deal at a particular price in the grey market.

    • Following the procedure, the Dealer receives the seller's application data and notifies the buyer that we have acquired a certain number of shares on the Grey market. As the information is not official seller may or may nor receive the amount of shares which is allotted to him in the beginning of process.

    • The process is completely paperless and unauthorized. Finally if shares are allotted to the investors, he may either get a call from the dealer with a command to either sell these shares at certain price or to transfer it to some of the DEMAT account. 

    • When Allocation of shares to the investor is currently taking place, The premium and gain or loss agreed upon between buyers and sellers on the Grey market serve as the sole basis for the settlement. There is also a procedure of the termination of transactions without payment. It usually occurs when no shares are allotted to the sellers. 

    IPO application trading in the Grey market

    • IPO applications also include buyers and sellers, just as they do during IPO share trading. In the Beginning, buyers observe the price of an application, which is usually based on various suppositions and volatile market conditions.

    • Following their decision, they make the sellers extend an offer as they are now prepared to purchase an application for a specific premium. Sellers may sell their applications to buyers at a premium, primarily through the Grey market. In this manner, they will be safer during the losing period.

    • There is a good deal at a special price that the seller has made at a specific premium rate. Here, the seller doesn’t need to be concerned with the IPO share allotment. Even if he did not receive an allocation, he would still be entitled to the price he got when he sold his IPO allocation on the Grey market.

    • The seller delivers a complete form to the dealer. Furthermore, the dealer notifies the buyer that he has purchased an IPO application from sellers on the grey market for a specific premium price. The issuing registrar manages the complete allocation process. Shares may or may not be allocated to the application that the seller sold.

    • If shares are assigned to the sold application, either of the sellers may get a call from the dealer asking them to sell the assigned shares at a particular price or transfer the shares to a Demat accountant. Furthermore, sellers thoroughly dispel all buyer uncertainties by responding to all inquiries, which include doubts like What Is Grey Market Premium in IPO?

    • The settlement is determined based solely on profit or loss when shares are sold.The transaction is considered to be finished without a settlement if no claims are allotted to the sellers. The seller still receives his premium, though, because he sold his application.

    What Is Grey Market Premium in IPO?

    Grey Market Premium ("GPM") is a price point at which stocks are traded at a premium before get listed on the stock exchange. To put it simply, the stock of the company that launched an initial public offering is bought and sold outside of the observation of the stock market regulators. This market is regarded as the most appropriate market for forecasting the possible reaction to the initial public offering (IPO) on the day of listing.

     

    The GPM predicts how the IPO would behave. On the day of the listing, a company announces an initial public offering (IPO) at Rs 100. If the grey market premium is around 20 rupees, then the IPO will trade at around 120 rupees. Although there's should be no reliability, but the GMP typically performs as expected, and IPOs generally list around the specified price.

     

    Since there is no regulating body, sellers mainly give preferential rates depending on their whims and mostly favor their regular customers. Additionally, if you buy the premium on the Grey market, you cannot sell it for almost a year on the open market. The risk of losing money is thus constantly present in this market.

    What is the Kostak Rate?

    The Kostak Rate, basically, is the amount paid by the individual for the IPO application before the IPOs listing. A person can buy or sell his entire IPO application in the Grey market with a fixed profit solely on the Kostak rate. The Kostak Rates are applicable regardless of how you receive your allotment.

     

    For instance, let us take an individual who submitted five applications for a single IPO. He would sell these applications for Rs. 2500 each, and then the person would achieve an IPO profit of Rs. 12500. The major point to consider is that if he receives the allocation after two applications, his profit will remain the same. Furthermore, he or she must give the remaining profit to the person who purchased the application, if they sell the stock they receive and made a profit of roughly 25,000.

     

    People can sell the entire IPO application to the correct buyer, but since the buyer is still determining how many shares the company will issue for that IPO, it becomes their responsibility. Afterwards, only they have to endure repercussions.

     

    In a different situation, the buyer and seller may agree to buy the application at a specific price, and any discrepancies would be resolved when the IPO was published. Kostak Rate is what he pays to the seller.

    Is the Grey market included in the IPO market?

    The Grey market is unofficial, whereas the IPO market is a recognized, allocated market established by SEBI regulations to raise business funds. Though there is no official link between the IPO Grey market and the IPO market, but In actuality, the Grey market premium aids in determining the IPO price. The ideal way to predict how the IPO will perform on the issuance day is for businesses involved in it to test the waters in the Grey market before the market opens. Mainly, Cash is used for every transaction, which is all on a personal level.

    FAQs

    What effect does the Grey market have on stock prices?

    The Grey market premium aids in determining the IPO price. But the Grey market settles once official trading begins. An unscrupulous party might back out of the deal due to this. Some institutional investors, such as pension funds and mutual funds, may choose not to engage in Grey market trading due to this risk.

    On the Grey market, can you purchase stocks?

    Since it is an over-the-counter market, you cannot contact official individuals or organizations to engage in IPO Grey Market trading. To buy or sell IPO stocks on the Grey Market, you must locate a local dealer who can do the buyer- or seller-finding for you.

    Can shares be purchased on the Grey market?

    Grey markets can be a great opportunity for small investors and traders to buy shares before they are listed. It has been around long, and many traders and investors attest to its existence. Many believe the stock will improve in value when it gets listed in the IPO.

    Is GMP Always Correct?

    Investors take their cues from the GMP for the listing price to observe the possible overall response to an IPO. However, we cannot consider GMP an accurate indicator as the Grey market is highly prone to manipulation.

    Who decides the Grey market premium?

    Sellers would contact the buyers or investors behind the curtain in the Grey market. They both come to a particular price point known as the "premium" at which the shares will be sold. It is basically above the issue price.

    In India, is the Grey market permitted?

    Grey markets are not illegal, but they are not authorized or controlled in the same way that other markets are in the traditional sense. It is mainly because SEBI, stock exchanges, and brokers do not regularize these transactions that take place in the market.

    Can you instantly sell IPO shares?

    In general, yes. You can purchase and sell shares at will if you are an investor who purchases them on the day of the IPO in the open market. However, you would be subject to the lock-up period for those shares if you took part in the IPO itself and bought shares at the IPO price before the opening of trade.

    Is the "Grey market" the "black market"?

    While black market transactions involve the sale of stolen or fake products without its acknowledgement in the market, Grey market transactions involve the resale of legal shares at slight higher price through unofficial means before share being listed in the market. Buyer have to bear the loss if the stock is not listed in the market at the price it was initially assumed.

    What is the Main Disadvantage of IPO?

    Although purchasing a company does increase money, there are also considerable disadvantages. These include the drawn-out process of an IPO, making sure the business complies with stringent regulatory requirements, relinquishing complete ownership and ultimate control, and facing scrutiny from the general public and investors.

    Conclusion

    The profitability potential in the Grey market is entirely uncertain. Also, this market is outside the watch of legal authorities, which is why one should stay away from it, to keep his money secure. But one must acknowledge the fact that sometimes the rate quoted in the Grey market can be an effective measure of the actual performance of the IPO. The GMP and the Kostak rate should be taken into account if a person has to get an idea of Scrip's future performance. Even if you generate a profit, the tax will be applied on the actual amount, so you could also lose money. 

     

    We are now completely clear about what is Grey Market Premium in IPO?  Also, the government or stock market organizations do not control the grey market; instead, regional dealers are in charge. The Kostak rates were developed on the grey market. Just like exit polls before elections are a good indicator of which government will be formed, the Grey market should only be seen as an indicator of how the stock performs after it gets listed on the stock exchange.

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